SOCIETY FOR JUDGMENT AND DECISION MAKING NEWSLETTER

VOL XVI Number 3 September, 1997

1997 ANNUAL MEETING

It is time to plan for the annual meeting at the Philadelphia Marriott Hotel, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, November 22-24, 1997. An initial program and other information is on pages 6-10 of this newsletter. Also, see the action items below. See you in Philadelphia!

ACTION ITEMS

Please take action on the following items now!

ELECTION BALLOT
There is an Executive Board election this year. Please cast your ballot among the excellent candidates for leadership of the society. The ballot is due to Colleen Moore by November 10, 1997.

MEETING REGISTRATION AND 1998 DUES
Use the form on this page to preregister for the annual meeting and make payment of your 1998 dues. The form also allows you to order OBHDP and JBDM for 1998 at the Society's discount rates. To avoid the late fee for the meeting registration, please get this form to Colleen Moore by November 1, 1997.

HOTEL RESERVATION
This form can be used for the JDM meeting and for the Psychonomic Society meeting. The reservation is due to the hotel by October 21, 1997.

CONTENTS

          From the Editor. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2 
          J/DM Election Ballot . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3 
          On-Line Services . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5 
          1997 J/DM Meeting: Program Information . . . . . . . . . . 6 
          1997 J/DM Meeting Registration and 1998 Dues . . . . . . .11 
          1997 J/DM Meeting: Hotel Reservations . . . . . . . . . . 12 
          Meeting Notices . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13 
          Position Announcements . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .17 
          JDM Books . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19

SUBMISSION DEADLINE FOR THE NEXT J/DM NEWSLETTER: October 24, 1997


SOCIETY FOR JUDGMENT AND DECISION MAKING

1997 EXECUTIVE BOARD

EDITOR:
Shawn P. Curley
Department of Info. & Decision Sciences University of Minnesota
271 19th Avenue S.
Minneapolis, MN 55455
(612) 624-6546
FAX: (612) 626-1316
scurley@csom.umn.edu

DUES, ADDRESSES, & CORRECTIONS:
Colleen F. Moore/JDM
Psychology Department
University of Wisconsin
1202 W. Johnson St.
Madison, WI 53706
(608) 263-4868
cfmoore@facstaff.wisc.edu

FROM THE EDITOR

The J/DM Newsletter welcomes submissions from individuals and groups. However, we do not publish substantive papers. Book reviews will be published. If you are interested in reviewing books and related materials, please write to the editor.

There are few ground rules for submissions. The best way to send your contribution is via EMAIL or in an ASCII file on a 3.5" or 5.25" diskette. If you must send hard-copy (e.g., if you are using special graphics or do not have computer access), please submit camera-ready copy. This means that the copy should be typed single-spaced on white 8 1/2 by 11 paper. If possible, use a carbon or film ribbon. Please mail flat -- do not fold.

Advertising Rates: Advertising can be submitted to the editor. Inclusion of the ad and the space given to the ad is at the editor's discretion. The current charge is $100 per page to cover production and mailing costs. Contact Shawn Curley for details. Alternatively, you can use--

Mailing Labels: Some readers may wish to send reprint lists or other material to people listed in the directory. The current charge is $125 for a set of labels. Contact Colleen Moore for details. A diskette of the database is available for one-time use. The charge is $50 for commercial use, $25 for nonprofit use

Address corrections: Please check your mailing label carefully. Because the J/DM Newsletter is usually sent by bulk mail, copies with incorrect addresses or which are otherwise undeliverable are neither forwarded nor returned. Therefore, we have no way of knowing if copies are delivered. Address changes or corrections should be sent to Colleen Moore.

Subscriptions: Subscriptions are available on a calendar year basis only. Requests for information concerning membership in the Society for Judgment and Decision Making should be sent to Colleen Moore.


J/DM ELECTION BALLOT

All members are urged to vote in this election for a new Executive Board member. Recall that because of a tie in last year's election, Irwin Levin will begin serving as President-Elect this year, and there is no election process for president this year. For details, see the minutes in the December 1996 issue of the Newsletter. The person elected to the Executive Board will serve a three-year term, 1998-2000. Current officers of the society are listed on Page 2 of this newsletter.

Executive Board (vote for one)

_____ Gretchen Chapman (Rutgers University)

_____ Julie Irwin (New York University)

_____ Jeryl Mumpower (State University of New York)

Please mail your completed ballots to:
(You can use the self-mailer on the back of this page.)

          J/DM Election
          c/o Colleen F. Moore
          Psychology Department
          University of Wisconsin
          1202 W. Johnson St.
          Madison, WI  53706

BALLOTS MUST BE RECEIVED BY NOVEMBER 10, 1997

RESULTS WILL BE ANNOUNCED AT THE ANNUAL MEETING


ON-LINE SERVICES

We welcome suggestions and comments about new features.

         Alan Cooke <acooke@sjdm.org>
            Alan Schwartz <alansz@sjdm.org>

NEW DOMAIN NAME FOR SJDM!
The Society for Judgment and Decision Making now has its own internet domain name, sjdm.org. On-line services previously offered at mellers1.psych.berkeley.edu should now be accessed from this new domain, as described below.

ELECTRONIC MAILING LISTS
To subscribe, send a message of the form:

subscribe mailing-list YOUR FULL NAME

to the following address:

     listproc@mail.sjdm.org

where mailing-list is:

     jdm-society    for members of the society in general
     jdm-grads      for graduate students  (Note:  This is a sublist 
                    of the entire mailing list. Graduate students receive 
                    messages to both lists.)

To send a message to all subscribers (including graduate students), send the message to:

     jdm-society@mail.sjdm.org

To send a message only to graduate students, send the message to:

     jdm-grads@mail.sjdm.org

To cancel your subscription, send a message to the same address as for subscriptions of the form:

unsubscribe mailing-list YOUR FULL NAME

REFERENCE ARCHIVE
The system allows users to store and retrieve book and chapter references related to the fields of judgment and decision making. The archive is located at:

     references@mail.sjdm.org

For more information send the message "help" to this address.

WORLD WIDE WEB
The J/DM Society has a set of pages on the World-Wide Web, providing information about the Society and Society Membership, upcoming events, all our electronic services (including course syllabi, easy-to-use forms for subscribing to SJDM mailing lists, and help with the reference archive), links to related Web sites that may be of interest to members, copies of the JDM Newsletter (for society members), and the SJDM directory with links to members' home pages. The URL (uniform resource locator) for the Web page is:

     http://www.sjdm.org

INTERNET SUBJECT COOPERATIVE
This service allows researchers to fill out each other's questionnaires and surveys, for pilot studies or real data. Contact Jon Baron, the moderator of the effort at:

     baron@cattell.psych.upenn.edu

ONLINE SOCIETY NEWSLETTERS
The SJDM newsletters are available on-line and through email. If you would like to receive text-only versions of the newsletter via e-mail, subscribe to the "jdm-newsletter" mailing list. Send mail to:

     listproc@mail.sjdm.org

1997 J/DM MEETING: PROGRAM INFORMATION

SOCIAL EVENT
Saturday night, November 22, a visit to the Franklin Institute Science Museum will be available to all who are interested. Tickets for the event are $7.50 per person. The price includes the museum fee, with admission to the museum's current exhibition, and admission to the feature Omnimax film. The current exhibition is "The Robot Zoo:"

      Explore the biomechanics of complex animal robots to understand how real 
      animals work in "The Robot Zoo," where nature is the master engineer.  
      Eight robot animals and plenty of hands-on interactives illustrate how 
      real animals achieve amazing feats.  How does a chameleon change color?  
      How can a fly walk on a ceiling?  "The Robot Zoo" offers the answers.

The feature Omnimax film will be shown at 8 pm. The movie is "Alaska: Spirit of the Wild," and is followed by a short movie about Philadelphia: "Symphony Philadelphia." The Omniverse Theater within the science museum uses a four-story, domed screen with fifty-six speakers to display the films. Use the meeting registration form on page 11 to reserve your spot for this event by November 1, 1997.

HOTEL
The Philadelphia Marriott, 1201 Market Street, Philadelphia, PA, will be the meeting site. A copy of the room reservation form is on page 12 of the newsletter. Make reservations as early as possible. Reservations must be received by the hotel no later than October 21, 1997, in order to ensure room availability. Reservations may be faxed care of the Reservation Department at 215-625-6101, or by calling 800-320-5744. Information about the hotel and the surrounding area is available on the hotel's web site: http://www.marriott.com/marriott/PHLDT. Please be sure to obtain a confirmation number for your reservation.

TRAVEL TO AND IN PHILADELPHIA
Discounted airfare and car rental rates have been negotiated with the Psychonomic Society through Conventions in America. You will receive 5%-10% off the lowest applicable fares on USAirways, or the guaranteed lowest available fare on any carrier for travel between November 17-26, 1997. Alamo Rent-A-Car is also offering special rates starting as low as $30/day or $134/week, with unlimited free mileage and bonus frequent flyer miles. For the discount, call Conventions In America at (800) 929-4242, and ask for Group No. 528; or call (619) 453-3686 / fax (619) 453-7976 / <flycia@scitravel.com>. Reservation hours are: M-F 6:30am-5:00 pm Pacific Time. If you call direct: USAirways (800) 344-8644, ask for Goldfile #14190150. Contact Alamo at (800) 732-3232, ID #478528 GR. The cost of a cab from the Philadelphia airport is $20. The SEPTA train from the airport to Market Station (across the street from the Marriott) is $5 and the USA Limo shuttle is $8 one-way, $15 round trip. If you are coming via train, the Amtrak station is at 30th Street and Market Street, a short cab ride from the Marriott. Parking at the Marriott is valet only and is $21 per day. Several self-parking lots are near the hotel and are generally about $12 per day. The Philly Phlash is an inexpensive downtown bus system using small buses for getting to historical and/or commercial areas.


PROGRAM

The tentativc JDM 1997 schedule is here

1997 J/DM MEETING REGISTRATION AND 1998 DUES

The JDM 1997 Registration form is here

1997 J/DM MEETING: HOTEL RESERVATIONS

PHILADELPHIA MARRIOTT
1201 Market Street
Philadelphia, Pennsylvania 19107
(215) 625-2900
Reservations: (800) 320-5744 or FAX (215) 625-6101

Check-in Time: 4:00 pm
Check-out Time: 12 noon

RESERVATION REQUEST
The PHILADELPHIA MARRIOTT is pleased you have chosen us for your upcoming visit. Our staff looks forward to serving you. in order for us to process your reservation, we require:

     A guarantee of payment for the first night.  This guarantee of payment may 
     be made by enclosing a check, money order or the entire number of one of 
     the following credit cards:  American Express, Diners Club, VISA, 
     MasterCard, Discover, or Carte Blanche.  DO NOT forget the expiration date 
     and signature.  24 hours prior to arrival, the hotel cannot refund advance 
     deposit without a cancellation number from the hotel.

This guarantee of payment insures that a room will be held for your first day of arrival only. Should you not arrive, the room will become available for resale at 6:00 AM the following morning. That also means that your deposit or credit card will be used as payment for the first night's room rental if the reservation is not cancelled 24 hours prior to your arrival.

Reservations made after OCTOBER 21, 1997 will be subject to space and date availability. Room Rates do not include tax, which is currently 13%. (Room tax is subject to change without notice.)

Name of Group: PSYCHONOMICS SOCIETY - 1997 ANNUAL MEETING (JDM)

Official Dates: NOVEMBER 19-24, 1997

If, due to a disability, you have any special needs, accommodations or requirements, please let us know in the space provided and we will do our best to accommodate your needs:

Any variation from the official dates is subject to availability.

PLEASE TYPE OR PRINT
____ Check here if confirmation notice is required

      NAME 
      ARRIVAL DATE  
      DEPARTURE DATE
      CO-AFFILIATION
      TIME OF ARRIVAL                                AM       PM 
      ADDRESS                                                     
      CITY                        STATE        ZIP 
      PHONE     
      What major credit card will be used for payment upon checkout?                  
      CARD NAME                                                   
      CARD NUMBER                    EXP. DATE               
      SIGNATURE                                         
      Above card will also be used for guarantee for late arrival in the 
      absence of one night's deposit.
                              All Rooms Must Be Guaranteed
   
     REQUESTED ROOM TYPE:
     Smoking             No Preference
     1 King Bed          Non-Smoking
     1 Br. Suite         2 Double Beds
     2 Br. Suite         Wheelchair Accessible
     Every attempt will be made to accommodate your requested room type. 

     SHARING WITH:
     ALL INFORMATION IS REQUIRED TO PROCESS RESERVATION

RATES

   1 Person  $     110      2 Person  $     120      3 Person  $     120    
   4 Person  $     120      Suites     $ Call Hotel Group Housing Dept.

MEETING NOTICES

Society for Medical Decision Making Meeting Hyatt Regency, Houston TX, October 26-29, 1997

The 1997 Society for Medical Decision Making (SMDM) annual meeting will feature a day of short courses (Sunday, October 26), including two on decision psychology. There are also courses on decision analysis, diagnosis, computer aided decision making, utility assessment, ethics, Markov processes, neural nets and genetic algorithms, and cost effectiveness analysis. Short course and other information can be viewed at the SMDM web site http://polaris.nemc.org/SMDM. JDM members are encouraged to attend just for the short courses, or for the whole program which is full of decision analysis, decision psychology, and related presentations and posters.

For more information about the meeting or the society, contact:

     Elizabeth Paine, Society for Medical Decision Making 
     The George Washington University, Office of CME
     2300 K Street, NW
     Washington DC 20037 USA
     (202) 994-8929

14th International Conference on Multiple Criteria Decision Making University of Virginia, Charlottesville, Virginia, USA June 8-12, 1998
Theme: MCDM and its Worldwide Role in Risk-Based Decision Making

Call for papers

Papers are invited on all aspects of MCDM, including: Theory and methodology; applications of MCDM in the private and public sectors; risk management within the MCDM framework; mathematical and algorithmic developments in MCDM; social and behavioral studies of MCDM processes; conflict resolution, negotiation, and group decision support; and MCDM software.

Schedule and Deadlines

     Submission of abstracts:       5 January 1998 
     Notification of acceptance:   15 February 1998 
     Final registration:            1 April 1998

Submission Procedures

Intending contributors should submit abstracts of not more than 200 words in length, and should include the authors' names and addresses (with the presenting author listed first), and up to four keywords. Abstracts should preferably be submitted electronically by e-mail or on a DOS diskette. Conference proceedings will be published; authors will be informed at a later date.

Contacts

     MCDM 98; Center for Risk Management of Engineering Systems; 103 Albert 
     Small Building University of Virginia; Charlottesville, VA  22903  USA 
     (XX1) (804) 924-0960; fax: (XX1) (804) 924-0865

     mcdm98@virginia.edu
          http://www.virginia.edu/~risk/mcdm98.html

Behavioral Decision Research in Management Miami, Florida, USA June 19-21, 1998

The Seventh BDRM conference will be held at the University of Miami School of Business Administration and Biltmore Luxury Hotel and Resort. The theme of the conference is original research in decision making with application to business including accounting, economics, finance, management, management science, marketing, organization behavior, and strategy. This conference continues the series of biannual meetings previously held at Cornell, Texas, Chicago, Wharton, Berkeley, and MIT. This year's confirmed invited speakers include Max Bazerman and Dick Thaler. Program committee members include Colin Camerer, Chip Heath, Don Kleinmuntz, George Loewenstein, Barbara Kahn, Itamar Simonson, Michal Strahilevitz, and Frank Yates.

The conference hotel, the Biltmore Luxury Resort, is registered with the federal government as a national historical landmark. The resort features amazing Spanish architecture, a tennis center, a gorgeously landscaped 18 hole golf course, a state of the art gym, and the largest hotel swimming pool in the continental United States!

Interested participants are invited to submit either individual abstracts of 200 words or less or special session proposals. We especially encourage the submission of special session proposals! Special session proposals should be limited to 3-4 abstracts and 1-2 pages discussing the theme of the special session. Ideally, special sessions should include either 3 papers and a discussant, or 4 papers and no discussant. However, under special circumstances, double sessions consisting of 5-7 papers can also be arranged. Each submission should include the name, affiliation, department name, address, telephone #, fax # and email address of each of the authors. For papers that have multiple authors, please also underline the name of the individual(s) who will actually be presenting the paper. For individual abstracts you should also provide 3-6 key words that can be used to group these abstracts into special sessions. This year's conference will also include a poster session. Those interested in presenting a poster should indicate this interest along with their abstract(s).

The deadline for all submissions is January 2, 1998. Presenters will be notified whether their abstracts have been selected by March 15, 1998.

Requests for registration material should be sent to:

Maurice Schweitzer
Management Department
414 Jenkins
School of Business Administration
University of Miami
Coral Gables, FL 33124
phone: 305-284-3883
MSchweit@umiami.ir.miami.edu

Submissions should be sent to:

Michal Strahilevitz
Marketing Department
P.O. Box 248-147
University of Miami
School of Business Administration
Coral Gables, FL 33124-6554
Phone: 305-284-1773
E-mail: Strahile@sba.miami.edu

Requests for further information about the logistics of the conference can be sent to either Maurice Schweitzer or Michal Strahilevitz.

Special thanks to the University of Miami School of Business and the INFORMS College of Marketing for their pledges of financial support of this conference. We look forward to seeing you in Miami in June!


Working Group 8.3 of the International Federation for Information Processing conference on Context-Sensitive Decision Support Systems Bled, Slovenia 13-15 July 1998

See newsletter for information on the conference. Or: http://www-personal.umich.edu/~widmeyer/ifipwg83


OTHER MEETINGS

INFORMS: Hyatt Regency Dallas at Reunion, Dallas, TX, October 26-29, 1997. For information contact: INFORMS Dallas, 2 Charles Street, Suite 300, Providence, RI 02904 USA; (800) 343-0062; (fax) (401) 274-3189; <meetings@informs.org>; http://www.informs.org

Society for Computers in Psychology: Philadelphia, PA, November 20, 1997. For information contact: Walter K. Beagley, Dept of Psychology, Alma College, Alma, MI 48801 USA; (517) 463-7267; fax: (517) 463-7277, <beagley@alma.edu>

The Psychonomic Society: Philadelphia, PA, November 21-23, 1997. For information contact: Roger L. Mellgren, Secretary-Treasurer, Dept of Psych, Box 19528, Univ of Texas, Arlington TX 76019-0528 USA, (817) 272-2775, fax: (817) 272-2364, <mellgren@uta.edu>

Judgment/Decision Making Society: Philadelphia, PA, November 22-24, 1997. See this issue of the Newsletter for program and registration information.

Valencia International Meeting on Bayesian Statistics: Hotel Las Fuentes, Alcossebre, Spain, May 30-June 4, 1998. For information or to be included in the conference mailing list, send to the local organizer, Jose Bernardo [<bernardo@uv.es>, 34-6-386-4362, (fax) 34-6-386-4735] the following information: Name; Affiliation; Postal address; Telephone; Fax; Internet address; Web address; Area(s) of interest within Bayesian Statistics. An information bulletin, including the provisional program and the registration forms, will be sent by September 1997 to those who have indicated interest. Also see http://www.uv.es/~bernardo/valenciam.html

Economic Science Association: Mannheim University, Mannheim, Germany, June 11-13, 1998. The abstract deadline is February 15, 1998. For information contact: HAPAG LLOYD; Ludwigstr. 30, D-67059 Ludwigshafen; (++49) 621-591-2820; (fax) (++49) 621-591-2821; http://www.esa.uni-mannheim.de

Upcoming JDM Meetings
(assuming continued linkage with the Psychonomic Society meeting)

1998 Dallas, November 21-23
1999 Los Angeles, November 20-22


POSITION ANNOUNCEMENTS

University of Chicago

The University of Chicago Graduate School of Business is seeking to hire tenure track faculty with interests in the areas of decision making, negotiations, and organizations, all broadly defined. We will consider both new Ph.D.s and more experienced candidates with excellent records. We are looking for candidates with strong disciplinary training in any of the social sciences who can use that disciplinary background to conduct research on aspects of behavior relevant to management in organizations and to introduce MBA students to behavioral science principles. This position is part of the Managerial and Organizational Behavior area, whose members are responsible for teaching courses such as Managing in Organizations, Managerial Decision Making, Power and Politics, and Negotiations. Candidates should be qualified to teach at least one of these courses plus another MBA elective. The group has a well-equipped laboratory for experimental research. Applications should include a vita, one research paper authored by the candidate, and two or three letters of reference. Please have all the materials sent to: Professor Joshua Klayman, M.O.B. Recruiting, Graduate School of Business, University of Chicago, 1101 E. 58th St., Chicago, IL 60637. To guarantee full consideration, all materials must be received by December 1, 1997.
The University of Chicago is an equal-opportunity/affirmative-action employer.

Princeton University

Princeton University's Department of Psychology and Woodrow Wilson School of Public and International Affairs (WWS) are planning a joint venture in psychology and public policy. At least one joint appointment between the Psychology Department and the WWS is anticipated at the junior level, with some post-Ph.D. experience expected. Applicants must have an active research program in social or cognitive psychology and a commitment to teaching and advising in the Psychology Department at both the graduate and undergraduate levels. In addition, applicants should be comfortable interacting with neighboring social science disciplines (such as economics and politics), have an interest in policy applications, and be ready to teach psychology/policy courses at the WWS. Applicants should submit a curriculum vitae and three letters of reference. All materials should be submitted by December 1, 1997 to: Search Committee PWS, Department of Psychology, Princeton University, Green Hall, Princeton, N.J. 08544-1010.
Princeton University is an equal opportunity/affirmative action employer.


Carnegie Mellon University
Behavioral Decision Theory

The Department of Social and Decision Sciences at Carnegie Mellon University seeks to fill a junior-level tenure track position in behavioral decision theory. The department is interdisciplinary, including economists, political scientists, psychologists, and sociologists. It has particular research strengths in behavioral decision theory, policy analysis, organizations, industrial organization, technological change, and computational social science. (Current projects and faculty are described at the website: http://hss.cmu.edu/html/departments/sds/sds.html).

We prefer candidates with a strong empirical track record, and research interests related to one or more of the domains above. We are open to a range of disciplinary concentrations within behavioral decision theory, including economics, psychology, political science and sociology. We also prefer candidates who can teach courses in empirical research methods, or otherwise participate in the department's undergraduate majors in information and decision systems, policy and management, and political science. Joint appointments are possible with other units on campus.

Carnegie Mellon University is an Affirmative Action/ Equal Opportunity employer. We encourage minorities, women, and individuals with disabilities to apply. Applicants should send a CV, 3 or 4 letters of recommendation, a sample of written work, and a cover letter describing research interests to: Chair, Behavioral Decision Theory Search Committee, Department of Social and Decision Sciences, Carnegie Mellon University, Pittsburgh, PA 15213-3890.

Review of applications will begin September 1.

University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign

THE DEPARTMENT OF PSYCHOLOGY invites applications for a full-time tenure-track, position in Social Psychology at the Assistant/Associate Professor level (Ph.D. required). The primary criteria for appointment will be excellence in research and teaching. The position will begin August 21, 1998. Salary is dependent upon experience and qualifications. Interested persons should send a vita, a statement of research and teaching interests, at least three letters of recommendation, and pre/reprints to David E. Irwin, Chair, Social Search Committee, University of Illinois, Department of Psychology, 603 East Daniel Street, Champaign, IL 61820 (217-333-7746). For full consideration, all application materials must be received by October 15, 1997.

Information concerning the Psychology Department's programs, research facilities, and faculty can be obtained on the World Wide Web at <http://s.psych.uiuc.edu>. The University of Illinois is an Affirmative Action, Equal Opportunity Employer.


Rutgers University - Newark Campus
Cognitive Scientist

The Department of Psychology anticipates making one tenure-track appointment in Cognitive Science at the Assistant Professor level. Candidates should have an active research program in one or more of the following areas: learning, action, high-level vision, and language. Our particular interest are candidates who combine one or more of these research interests with mathematical and/or computational approaches. The position calls for candidates who are effective teachers at both the graduate and undergraduate levels. Review of applications will begin on December 15, 1997.

Rutgers University is an equal opportunity/affirmative action employer. Qualified women and minority candidates are especially encouraged to apply.

Send CV and three letters of recommendation to Professor S. J. Hanson, Chair, Department of Psychology - Cognitive Science Search, Rutgers University, Newark, NJ 07102.

Email inquiries can be made to cogsci@psychology.rutgers.edu

JDM BOOKS

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SJDM Book Series titles