SOCIETY FOR JUDGMENT AND DECISION MAKING NEWSLETTER

VOL XVI Number 5 December, 1997

DUES INCREASE

For the first time since 1990, the JDM Society's dues has increased. For 1998, the dues will be $25, a $5 increase. The student fees remain the same. This change was voted by the JDM Executive board at the 1997 meeting. See the minutes on p. 16.

CREDIT CARD PAYMENTS

Also decided by the Executive board at the 1997 meeting was that the Society will accept credit cards. This capability is expected to be ready as of February 1, 1998. Watch the web site (see p. 3) and future newsletters for details.

CONTENTS

          From the Editor   . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  2
          On-Line Services  . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  3
          NSF:DRMS Information  . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  5
          Bayesian Research Conference Notice   . . . . . . . . . . . . .  6
          Meeting Announcements   . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  7
          Position Announcements  . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12
          Dues and journal Order Form  . . .  . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15
          1997 J/DM Meeting: Executive board Meeting Minutes . . . .. . . 16

SUBMISSION DEADLINE FOR THE NEXT J/DM NEWSLETTER: March 13, 1998


SOCIETY FOR JUDGMENT AND DECISION MAKING

1998 EXECUTIVE BOARD

EDITOR:
Shawn P. Curley
Department of Info. & Decision Sciences University of Minnesota
321 19th Avenue S.
Minneapolis, MN 55455
(612) 624-6546
Fax: (612) 626-1316
scurley@csom.umn.edu

DUES, ADDRESSES, & CORRECTIONS:
Colleen F. Moore/JDM
Psychology Department
University of Wisconsin
1202 W. Johnson St.
Madison, WI 53706
(608) 263-4868
cfmoore@facstaff.wisc.edu

FROM THE EDITOR

The J/DM Newsletter welcomes submissions from individuals and groups. However, we do not publish substantive papers. Book reviews will be published. If you are interested in reviewing books and related materials, please write to the editor.

There are few ground rules for submissions. The best way to send your contribution is via EMAIL or in an ASCII file on a 3.5" diskette. If you must send hard-copy (e.g., if you are using special graphics or do not have computer access), please submit camera-ready copy. This means that the copy should be typed single-spaced on white 8 1/2 by 11 paper. If possible, use a carbon or film ribbon. Please mail flat -- do not fold.

Advertising Rates: Advertising can be submitted to the editor. Inclusion of the ad and the space given to the ad is at the editor's discretion. The current charge is $100 per page to cover production and mailing costs. Contact Shawn Curley for details. Alternatively, you can use--

Mailing Labels: Some readers may wish to send reprint lists or other material to people listed in the directory. The current charge is $125 for a set of labels. Contact Colleen Moore for details. A diskette of the database is available for one-time use. The charge is $50 for commercial use, $25 for nonprofit use

Address corrections: Please check your mailing label carefully. Because the J/DM Newsletter is usually sent by bulk mail, copies with incorrect addresses or which are otherwise undeliverable are neither forwarded nor returned. Therefore, we have no way of knowing if copies are delivered. Address changes or corrections should be sent to Colleen Moore.

Subscriptions: Subscriptions are available on a calendar year basis only. Requests for information concerning membership in the Society for Judgment and Decision Making should be sent to Colleen Moore.


ON-LINE SERVICES

We welcome suggestions and comments about new features.

     Alan Cooke <acooke@sjdm.org>
     Alan Schwartz <alansz@sjdm.org>

The Society for Judgment and Decision Making now has its own internet domain name, sjdm.org. On-line services previously offered at mellers1.psych.berkeley.edu should now be accessed from this new domain, as described below.

ELECTRONIC MAILING LISTS
To subscribe, send a message of the form:

subscribe mailing-list YOUR FULL NAME

to the following address:

     listproc@mail.sjdm.org

where mailing-list is:

     jdm-society        for members of the society in general
     jdm-grads          for graduate students
                        (Note:  This is a sublist of the entire mailing list.
                        Graduate students receive messages to both lists.)

To send a message to all subscribers (including graduate students), send the message to:

     jdm-society@mail.sjdm.org

To send a message only to graduate students, send the message to:

     jdm-grads@mail.sjdm.org

To cancel your subscription, send a message to the same address as for subscriptions of the form:

unsubscribe mailing-list YOUR FULL NAME

REFERENCE ARCHIVE
The system allows users to store and retrieve book and chapter references related to the fields of judgment and decision making. The archive is located at:

     references@mail.sjdm.org

For more information send the message "help" to this address.

WORLD-WIDE WEB PAGES
The J/DM Society has a set of pages on the World-Wide Web, providing information about the Society and Society Membership, upcoming events, all our electronic services (including course syllabi, easy-to-use forms for subscribing to SJDM mailing lists, and help with the reference archive), links to related Web sites that may be of interest to members, copies of the JDM Newsletter (for society members), and the SJDM directory with links to members' home pages.
The URL (uniform resource locator) for the Web page is:

     http://www.sjdm.org

INTERNET SUBJECT COOPERATIVE
This service allows researchers to fill out each other's questionnaires and surveys, for pilot studies or real data. Contact Jon Baron, the moderator of the effort at:

     baron@cattell.psych.upenn.edu

ONELINE SOCIETY NEWSLETTERS
The SJDM newsletters are available on-line and through email. If you would like to receive text-only versions of the newsletter via e-mail, subscribe to the "jdm-newsletter" mailing list. Send mail to:

     listproc@mail.sjdm.org

The message should say:

subscribe jdm-newsletter YOUR FULL NAME

You must be a member of the society in good standing to subscribe to this mailing list.


NSF:DRMS INFORMATION

           NATIONAL SCIENCE FOUNDATION
     DECISION, RISK, AND MANAGEMENT SCIENCE PROGRAM

Division of Social, Behavioral, and Economic Research

           National Science Foundation
         4201 Wilson Boulevard, Room 995
              Arlington, VA  22230

               Fax: (703) 306-0485

The program for Decision, Risk, and Management Science (DRMS) supports research that explores fundamental issues in management science, risk analysis, societal and public policy decision making, behavioral decision making and judgment, organizational design, and decision making under uncertainty. Research should incorporate social, behavioral, or organizational aspects of operational processes and decision making. Research supported by DRMS should: (a) have relevance to an operational context, (b) be grounded in theory, (c) be based on empirical observation or be subject to empirical validation, and (d) be generalizable.

DRMS emphasizes research in such topics as:

          Judgment and Decision Processes.  DRMS supports basic research
     both on psychological processes of decision and judgment and on
     development of tools for making better decisions.  This research
     involves both descriptive and prescriptive analyses of human
     behavior in decision settings as well as decision analysis, expert
     systems, and human problem-solving research.

          Risk Perception, Communication and Management.  DRMS
     supports basic and applied research on risk and uncertainty in choice
     behavior.  Basic studies have expanded the understanding of the role
     of heuristics in individual decision making and the role of institutions
     in societal decision making.  Applied research has examined public
     policy and other societal responses to specific technological and
     natural hazards.

          Organizational Performance.  Research supported by DRMS
     focuses on organizational and group decision making and
     management and design of complex institutions.  This topic area
     includes group decision support systems and negotiation.

          Modelling of Managerial Processes.  DRMS supports studies of
     operational decision making in the public and private sectors.  These
     projects have expanded our understanding of fundamental issues in
     managerial science as well as extended the frontiers of application.
     This topic area includes marketing.

Special Initiative:

DRMS sponsors a Joint NSF/Private Sector Research Opportunities Initiative. This Initiative attracts considerable support and interest from the academic and private sector communities by matching NSF and industrial contributions to academic research proposals. The purpose of the initiative is to encourage academicians to do basic research firmly grounded in real, operational contexts. Interaction between the academic community and the private sector benefits both parties by creating opportunities to develop new approaches to problems based on state-of- the-art methodologies and innovative research partnerships. Topic areas include operational control, management systems, the interface between risk perceptions and trust, and strategic planning. Topics can range from production, manufacturing, and marketing research, to the role of decision analysis and decision support systems in improving the way decisions are made. Proposed projects should be of general interest to the research community, but still relate to a specific problem facing a cooperating organization in the private sector.

Examples of DRMS-Sponsored research include:

     ·    In response to sharply fluctuating customer demand, accelerating
     technological innovation, acquisitions or joint venture arrangements,
     and the emergence of global markets, many large organizations are
     replacing hierarchical and matrix forms of management with a
     "dynamic network."  This project examines the role of group
     decision support systems and related information technologies in
     facilitating a corporation's transition to a dynamic network form.

     ·    An exploration of the role of trust in the technical, legal, and
     governmental/institutional systems that are called upon to manage
     risks.  This research identifies the individual and organizational
     behaviors which foster and destroy trust in a risk management
     environment.

     ·    Evaluation of decision-making procedures used for strategic
     government decisions, such as the selections of sites for nuclear-
     waste disposal.

PROGRAM DIRECTOR
Dr. Jonathan W. Leland, Ph.D.
(703) 306-1757
internet:jleland@nsf.gov

Dr. Leland is on leave from his position on the research staff at the Center for Naval Analyses. Prior to going to CNA, Dr. Leland was Assistant Professor of Economics and Decision Making at Carnegie Mellon University. His primary research interests include the study of problems with individual choice and judgment, defense downsizing, organizational behavior and industrial organization. Dr. Leland received his Ph.D. in Economics from UCLA.


BAYESIAN RESEARCH CONFERENCE NOTICE

November 21, 1997

               Memorandum to: Scientists and practitioners interested in
               Bayesian research, inference by people,
               machines, or a blend, evaluation and decision
               making by the same, decision support
               systems, expert systems for inference and/or
               decision, and the like

From:               Ward Edwards

Subject:       36th Annual Bayesian Research Conference

This is your invitation to come and participate in the 36th Annual Bayesian Research Conference. The dates this year are February 19 and 20, 1998. In the future we will routinely meet on the Thursday and Friday after the Thursday and Friday closest to Valentine's Day (Feb. 18-19, 1999). Most of you will recall that the Sportsmen's Lodge is located at the intersection of Ventura Boulevard and Coldwater Canyon Boulevard in Studio City, California.

Our format and purpose will be the same this year as in recent previous years, though not the same as last year. We will give 30-minute papers to one another about research on inference, evaluation, decision processes and problems. We always strive for a blend of basic research and applications. A mixture of behavioral and normative interests has characterized us over the years. This means that decision analysts and behavioral decision theorists will be talking to one another. In recent years a number of members of the Normative AI Systems community have attended. So, in addition to more familiar topics like utility, probability, cognitive illusions, and the like, we will also hear about influence diagrams, formal representations of uncertainty, utility theory as a basis for control, and similar topics. We are as ecumenical about topics as about people; new topics that surprise me turn up each year.

As old hands know, the atmosphere is informal, the discussion can get intense, and many of the best debates take place during coffee breaks or in the hospitality suite at the end of the day. This Conference is a good place to try out your latest, wildest set of ideas on a kindly, knowledgeable, and critical audience. It is not a good place to make once again the speech for which you have received plaudits for the last two years. While some of our topics are technically demanding, the diversity of backgrounds of those attending calls for restraint in presenting mathematical materials; few of us are theorem-provers. (Some are, and indeed some papers prove theorems. But we need to be told why, and led gently by the hand through proofs.)

Last year's special papers, all intended to be part of a Festschrift volume in my honor, have indeed led to a volume. I believe that representatives of Kluwer will make a ceremony out of giving me a copy at this Conference. It wouldn't surprise me at all to find that they had more than one, and might be willing to sell them to Conference attendees. (Please note that the verb is "sell.") I got to see the whole book early. It is terrific! As I said in my chapter, "Don't lend it to a friend; you'll never get it back."


To get to the Sportsmen's Lodge, if you are driving, get to the Ventura Freeway, turn East from the San Diego Freeway or West from the Hollywood Freeway, exit at Coldwater Canyon Boulevard, drive South to Ventura Boulevard, and you are there; it is on the NE corner of that intersection.

Those not driving have various options. If you fly into Burbank Airport and have a reservation, simply phone the Sportsmen's Lodge and they will send a van to pick you up, if it is before 10 pm. If you fly into LAX, numerous shuttle services will, for a price, take you from LAX to the Sportsmen's Lodge. Flyaway Bus Service will get you to Van Nuys, which is pretty close; from there you can take a cab.

The Conference will have a registration fee of $40 per person. There will be a hospitality room on Wednesday and Thursday nights. Those who choose to stay over Friday evening will find other colleagues who do the same; we usually have a good time. All who do are invited to join me at my house for post-Conference drinks and conversation, after which we all usually go out to dinner.

If you indicate on the questionnaire that you must talk or want to talk, you should assume that you are on the program. If you check "schedule me if time permits," bring your viewgraphs but don't be hurt if time doesn't permit. I will, as usual, rewrite the title of your talk in an effort to make it funny unless you save yourself from my often inept ministrations by making it funny in the first place.

Please let us know as soon as you can whether or not you can come. We need answers by January 30, in order that the Sportsmen's Lodge can know how many rooms to hold.

If I have missed someone who should have been invited, please xerox this and pass it on, or call Letty Baz at (213) 740-4254, or email her at baz@mizar.usc.edu. If you need to reach me, my home phone number is 818-985-4094, and my email address is wedwards@mizar.usc.edu. Now that I am emeritus, I no longer use my USC addresses. Please send the registration form back to Letty Baz at SSRI (the full address is on it); sending it to me would only enhance the probability of its getting lost, since I would have to pass it on to her.

I'll see you in the Hospitality Suite on Wednesday evening, February 18, at 6:00 pm or any time after that. Do come Wednesday evening. It's a good time to visit with old friends, meet new ones, and prepare yourself for the following day's stimulation.


                 Registration Form
         36th Bayesian Research Conference
               February 19-20, 1998

Name:
Affiliation:
Address:

Phone:
Email:

Please fill out and return by January 30 to:

     Letty Baz
     Social Science Research Institute
     University of Southern California
     Los Angeles, CA  90089-0375
  1. I plan to attend the following:
     _____ Feb 18, Wed night, hospitality suite
     _____ Feb 19, Thurs meeting session
     _____ Feb 20, Fri meeting session
     _____ All of the above

2. What accommodations would you prefer:

     _____ Sportsmen's Lodge Hotel
            _____ Single Room $94.00
            _____ Double Room $94.00
                  _____ Smoking          _____ Non-Smoking
     _____ I will make my own accommodations.

3. Reservation request:

     _____ Wednesday and Thursday (nights of Feb. 18 and 19)
     _____ Wednesday, Thursday, & Friday (nights of Feb. 18, 19, 20)
     _____ Wednesday, Thursday, Friday & Saturday (nights of Feb. 18-21)
     _____ Thursday and Friday (nights of Feb. 19 and 20)
     _____ Wednesday night only (Feb. 18)
     _____ Other (please specify:)

4. Request to be scheduled as speaker on conference program:

          _____ Yes _____ No
     Title:

     Check one:
     _____ Must speak
     _____ Must speak to have trip financed
     _____ Would like to speak
     _____ Schedule me only if time permits

5. Audio/Visual equipment needed:

6. Additional comments: (Other appropriate invitees, please include address, special arrangements, etc.)

Please note that in order to hold room block reservations, the registration form must be returned no later than JANUARY 30. Your promptness will be greatly appreciated.

Registration fee is $40.00 including meeting room and hospitality suite refreshments. Please return checks made payable to Ward Edwards along with this form.

No confirmation notices will be mailed. Receipts will be available at the conference.


MEETING ANNOUNCEMENTS

CALL FOR SUBMISSIONS
Twentieth Annual Meeting of the Cognitive Science Society August 1 - 4, 1998; University of Wisconsin-Madison http://psych.wisc.edu/CogSci98/conf.html

We are pleased to announce CogSci98, the Twentieth Annual Meeting of the Cognitive Science Society, to be held in Madison, Wisconsin, August 1-4, 1998. Because the field of cognitive science exists to promote cross-disciplinary integration of concepts, methods, epistemologies, and data, and the empirical and theoretical base of cognitive science can shed light on the nature of such an interdisciplinary enterprise, CogSci98 will focus on interdisciplinarity.

This focus will be manifested in the following four ways: First, one plenary session will be dedicated to the topic of interdisciplinarity. Second, several invited tutorial symposia designed to provide breadth of interest will be offered. Third, presentations from the Cognitive Science Society membership that address interdisciplinarity as an object of empirical and theoretical research are hereby encouraged for one strand of the conference program. And fourth, all submissions for spoken presentations (i.e., symposia and spoken papers) will be evaluated for their ability to transcend their disciplinary boundaries and truly address the breadth of the community of cognitive scientists, in addition to being evaluated for their technical and theoretical merit (see review criteria below); thus, more general papers and symposia will have a higher priority for scheduling on the spoken program, and more specialized topics will be assigned to poster sessions.

This call solicits submissions for four forms of presentation (see <psych.wisc.edu/CogSci98/conf.html> for submission instructions):

STANDARD SPOKEN PAPERS: 20-minute spoken presentations, which if accepted will be published as 6-page papers in the Proceedings; STANDARD POSTERS: standard poster presentations, which if accepted will be published as 6-page papers in the Proceedings; ABSTRACT POSTERS: poster presentations, which are guaranteed to be published in the Proceedings as one-page abstracts but can be submitted only by members of the Cognitive Science Society. The deadline for submitting proposals for abstract posters is one month later than that for standard paper and poster presentations, so that persons who would like to become members of the Society may do so prior to submitting their abstract posters. Please see <http://www.umich.edu/cogsci/> for information about membership in the Cognitive Science Society, or contact the Executive Officer of the Cognitive Science Society, Inc., Colleen Seifert of the University of Michigan at (313) 764-4253; fax (313) 763-7480 (Attn: Prof. Seifert); email <cogsci@umich.edu>. SYMPOSIA: 90-minute spoken presentations, including three or more well-integrated talks on a common topic and possibly a discussant, which if accepted will be published as one-page abstracts in the Proceedings.

Deadline for RECEIPT of all submission materials is February 6, 1998 (for standard paper, standard poster, and symposium submissions) and March 6, 1998 (for abstract posters). Authors whose submissions are accepted on the program and will appear in the Proceedings will be notified in time to return final versions of their camera-ready Proceedings contributions by late April. For information about conference registration and housing, contact <CS98REG@MACC.WISC.EDU>. Please DO NOT direct queries about conference registration, housing, parking on campus, or lodging to any other email address.


Fourth Conference on Naturalistic Decision Making (NDM)

            Airlie Conference Center
                Washington, D.C.
                 May 29-31, 1998

The Fourth Conference on Naturalistic Decision Making (NDM) will feature keynote speakers, invited papers, and a poster session supporting the themes Applications of NDM and Links to Other Research Communities. For more information, please contact Laura Militello at (937)-873-8166; e-mail: <laura@klein-inc.com>; web site: <http://www.decisionmaking.com>. One-page abstracts for poster presentations can be submitted electronically to Betsy Knight until February 15, e-mail: <bknight@klein-inc.com>.

The 18th International Symposium on Forecasting

10th-13th June, 1998

This event, which will be held in the Edinburgh International Conference Centre, has as its theme Forecasting Social, Technological and Economic Change. Papers are invited on any aspect of forecasting but specifically for streams in Technological, Financial and Economic, Demographic and Health, Market, Tourism, Transport forecasting and forecasting methodology.

Keynote speakers will address aspects of the theme and there are forecasting workshops prior to the symposium.

Deadline for abstracts of 150 words is 16th February 1998 (please include a list of key words).

This event is sponsored by the International Institute of Forecasters in collaboration with Napier University.

For further information please contact:

          Lindsey Wright
          Napier University
          Craiglockhart Campus
          Edinburgh EH14 1DJ
          Scotland

          Tel: 00 44 131 455 4678
          Fax: 00 44 131 455 4232
          email:  l.wright@napier.ac.uk

Visit the web site: http://www.napier.ac.uk/depts/eco/isf98.html


OTHER MEETINGS:

Public Choice Society/Economic Science Association meetings: will be at the Hotel Monteleone, New Orleans LA, March 13-15, 1998. For information contact: Carol M. Robert; Public Choice Society; Center for Study of Public Choice; 1D3 Carow Hall; George Mason University; Fairfax, VA 22030 USA, <www-pubchoso.aas.duke.edu/>.

INFORMS: will be at the Queen Elizabeth and the Bonaventure Hilton Regency, Montr,al, Quebec, Canada, April 26-29, 1998. For information contact: INFORMS Montr,al, 2 Charles Street, Suite 300, Providence, RI 02940 USA; (401) 274-2525; (800) 343-0062; <www.informs.org/Conf/Montreal98>.

American Psychological Society: will be at the Washington Hilton & Towers, Washington DC, May 21-24, 1998. For information contact: Program Committee Chair Morton Ann Gernsbacher, University of Wisconsin-Madison, (608) 262-6989, fax; (608) 262-4902, <MAGernsb@facstaff.wisc.edu>, <www.hanover.edu/aps>.

Valencia International Meeting on Bayesian Statistics: Hotel Las Fuentes, Alcossebre, Spain, May 30-June 4, 1998. For information contact: Jose Bernardo, <bernardo@uv.es>, 34.6.386.4362, (fax) 34.6.386.4735. Also see <www.uv.es/~bernardo/valenciam.html>.

International Conference on Multiple Criteria Decision Making: University of Virginia, Charlottesville, Virginia, USA, June 8-12, 1998. For information contact: MCDM 98; Center for Risk Management of Engineering Systems; 103 Albert Small Building, University of Virginia; Charlottesville, VA 22903 USA, (XX1) (804) 924-0960; fax: (XX1) (804) 924-0865, <mcdm98@virginia.edu>,
<www.virginia.edu/~risk/mcdm98.html>.

Economic Science Association: Mannheim University, Mannheim, Germany, June 11-13, 1998. The abstract deadline is February 15, 1998. For information contact: HAPAG LLOYD; Ludwigstr. 30, D-67059 Ludwigshafen; (++49) 621-591-2820; (fax) (++49) 621-591-2821; <www.esa.uni-mannheim.de>.

Behavioral Decision Research in Management: Biltmore Luxury Hotel and Resort, Miami, Florida USA, June 19-21, 1998. For information contact: Maurice Schweitzer, Management Department, 414 Jenkins, School of Business Administration , University of Miami, Coral Gables, FL 33124 USA, phone: 305-284-3883,
<MSchweit@umiami.ir.miami.edu>.

Context-Sensitive Decision Support Systems: Bled, Slovenia, July 13- 15, 1998. For information contact: George R. Widmeyer, University of Michigan Business School, 701 Tappan St., Ann Arbor, MI 48109-1234 USA, +1 313 763 5808, fax: +1 313 764 3146, <widmeyer@umich.edu>, <www-personal.umich.edu/~widmeyer/ifipwg83>.

Society for Mathematical Psychology: Vanderbilt University, Nashville, Tennessee USA, August 6-9, 1998. Abstract deadline is April 15, 1998. For information contact: Sylvia Ruppel, Department of Psychology, 301 Wilson Hall, Vanderbilt University, Nashville, TN 37240 USA, <psych1@ctrvax.vanderbilt.edu >, phone: 1-615-322-0070, fax: 1-615-343-8449, <www.vanderbilt.edu/smp98/>.

Future JDM Meetings
1998 Dallas, November 21-23
1999 Los Angeles, November 20-22


POSITION ANNOUNCEMENTS

Ohio University

COGNITIVE/SOCIAL PSYCHOLOGIST: The Department of Psychology at Ohio University is seeking a tenure-track Assistant Professor with research interests which intersect cognitive and social psychology. Individuals whose program of research complement department strengths in decision-making, judgment or social judgment are particularly sought. The ideal candidate will be within three years of having received the doctorate, demonstrate evidence of programmatic research and scholarly productivity, a history of, or potential for, external funding and a commitment to teaching courses in cognition, social cognition or social psychology at the graduate and undergraduate levels. Applicants should send a curriculum vitae, recent publications, a brief statement of research interests and have three letters of recommendation to: Chair, Cognitive/Social Search Committee, Department of Psychology, 200 Porter Hall, Ohio University, Athens, OH 45701. For best consideration, applications must be received by December 31, 1997. Inquiries can be directed to Frank Bellezza, Ph.D. by phone (614) 593-1084 or e-mail (bellezza@oak.cats.ohiou.edu). We strongly encourage applications from minority and women candidates. Ohio University is an equal opportunity employer.

          Hal R. Arkes                       614-593-1992
          Ohio University                    fax: 614-593-0579
          Department of Psychology           arkes@oak.cats.ohiou.edu
          Athens, OH 45701

University of Washington

The Department of Psychology expects to fill a tenure-track assistant professor position. Candidates must have a strong quantitative focus and will be expected to teach courses in statistics or mathematical modeling at the graduate level. Applicants are expected to have demonstrated excellence in research and will be expected to provide high quality teaching at both the undergraduate and graduate levels. A candidate's specialty may be in any area of psychology, but it is expected that the research of the candidate will exhibit exceptional strengths in statistical analysis or mathematical modeling. To apply, send a detailed statement of research and teaching interests, a curriculum vitae, not more than three reprints or preprints, evidence of teaching effectiveness, and at least three letters of recommendation to: Quantitative Search Committee, Department of Psychology, University of Washington, Box 351525, Seattle, WA 98195-1525. Applications received by February 1, 1998 will receive full consideration. Ph.D. required by date of appointment. The University of Washington is building a culturally diverse faculty and strongly encourages applications from female and minority candidates. The University is an Equal Opportunity/Affirmative Action employer.

INSEAD - Decision Sciences Area

INSEAD invites applications for a tenure track position in Decision Sciences at the assistant or associate level, starting September 1998. Applicants must have research and teaching interests specifically in decision analysis/decision theory, and should have completed a Ph.D. degree. Candidates should have the potential and inclination to develop a strong research program, with interests in both theory and application, and to teach effectively at the MBA, Ph.D., and Executive levels.
Applications must include a curriculum vita, names of at least three references, and copies of research papers or publications. Please send applications, by January 31, 1998, to Professor Anil Gaba, INSEAD, Boulevard de Constance, 77305 Fontainebleau, France. INSEAD is an equal opportunity employer.


Yale University

The Yale School of Management seeks applicants at the level of Assistant or Associate Professor in the general area of applied quantitative modeling for managerial decision making. Applicants must have a PhD in a modeling field such as management science, operations research, statistics, economics, engineering, or applied mathematics, and show promise as a researcher in the application of such methods to management problems. Sample application areas of interest include public and/or private services, the management of public and/or private operations, public and/or private sector decision making, the evaluation of public and/or private programs, energy and the environment, transportation, communications, education, the pharmaceuticals industry, and criminal justice. Teaching assignments could include program evaluation, data analysis and statistics, policy modeling, operations research, decision analysis and game theory, or an institutional course such as the pharmaceuticals industry.

Please send curriculum vita, letters of recommendation, and samples of scholarly work by February 28, 1998 to:

     Office of the Dean
     Faculty Recruiting
     Yale School of Management
     Box 208200
     New Haven, CT  06520-8200

Yale is an equal opportunity, affirmative action employer and especially encourages applications from women and members of minority groups.

Max Planck Institute

The Center for Adaptive Behavior and Cognition at the Max Planck Institute for Human Development in Berlin, Germany, is seeking applicants for 1 one-year Predoctoral Fellowship (tax-free stipend DM 21,600) and 1 two-year Postdoctoral Fellowship (tax-free stipend range DM 40,000-44,000) beginning in September 1998. Candidates should be interested in modeling bounded rationality in real-world domains, and should have expertise in one of the following areas: judgment and decision making, evolutionary psychology or biology, cognitive anthropology, experimental economics and social games, risk-taking. For a detailed description of our research projects and current researchers, please visit our WWW homepage at
<http://www.mpib-berlin.mpg.de/abc>, or write to Dr. Peter Todd at <ptodd@mpib-berlin.mpg.de>. The working language of the center is English. Send applications (curriculum vitae, letters of recommendation, and reprints) by February 28, 1998 to Professor Gerd Gigerenzer, Center for Adaptive Behavior and Cognition, Max Planck Institute for Human Development, Lentzeallee 94, 14195 Berlin, Germany.


Indiana University

The Psychology Department and Cognitive Science Program at Indiana University anticipate one or more Postdoctoral Traineeships in the area of Modeling of Cognitive Processes, funded by the National Institutes of Health, depending on funding. Appointments will pay rates appropriate for a new or recent Ph.D., and will be for one or two years, beginning July 1, 1998.

Traineeships will be offered to qualified individuals who wish to further their training in mathematical modeling or computer simulation modeling, in any substantive area of cognitive psychology or Cognitive Science.

Trainees will be expected to carry out original theoretical and empirical research in association with one or more of these faculty and their laboratories, and to interact with other relevant faculty and the other preand postdoctoral trainees. In addition, they should plan to take or audit courses offered within the Cognitive Modeling program.

We are particularly interested in applicants with strong mathematical, scientific, and research credentials. Indiana University has superb computational and research facilities, and faculty with outstanding credentials in this area of research, including Richard Shiffrin and James Townsend, co-directors of the training program, and Robert Nosofsky, John Kruschke, Robert Goldstone, Geoffrey Bingham, Tom Busey, Donald Robinson, and Robert Port.

Applicants should send an up-to-date vita, relevant reprints and preprints, a personal letter describing their research interests, background, goals, and career plans, and reference letters from two individuals. Women, minority group members, and handicapped individuals are urged to apply.

Deadline for submission of application materials is March 15, 1998.

PLEASE NOTE: The conditions of our grant restrict all awards to U.S. citizens, or current green card holders. Awards also have a 'payback' provision, generally requiring awardees to carry out research or teach (not necessarily at IU) for a minimum period after termination of the traineeship.

Cognitive Science brochures and other information may be obtained at the address below. Send all materials to:

     Professors Richard Shiffrin and James Townsend,
     Program Directors
     Department of Psychology, Room 376B
     Indiana University
     Bloomington, IN 47405

     (812) 855-2722
     fax:  812-855-1086
     email: shiffrin@indiana.edu

Indiana University is an Affirmative Action Employer.


DUES AND JOURNAL ORDER FORM

You can now pay your membership dues and order the journals Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes and the Journal of Behavioral Decision Making using the single form below. If you want to subscribe to either journal for 1998, just check the appropriate space(s) below. Do NOT send your journal fees, you will be billed for the amount by the publishers. Please DO send your Society membership dues.

For your dues status, please check your label. The date next to your name is the last year for which the database shows you as having paid dues.

      If your label shows "1998" or later, you are fully paid.  THANK YOU!
      If it is "1997" then you owe dues of $25 for 1998.  (Note the increase
          this year.)
      If it is "1996" or earlier then you owe back dues ($20 per year) and
          $25 for 1998.  Please act soon, or you will be dropped from
          the mailing list.

Members residing outside the United States who incur expenses in getting checks written in U.S. funds have the privilege of paying in advance for multiple years. The label date should indicate if you have done this. Members residing in countries where getting checks written in U.S. funds is impractical or illegal may apply to the Society for a free membership. Such members will find a "*" next to their names on the label. The Society will accept credit cards as of February 1, 1998. Watch the web site (see p. 3) and future newsletters for details.


SOCIETY FOR JUDGMENT AND DECISION MAKING:

DUES/ADDRESS CORRECTION/JOURNAL ORDERS FORM

     Name
     Phone
     Email
     Address
     City                                      State            ZIP

1998 Dues:

           Member $25
           Student $5*

Please make checks payable to the JUDGMENT/DECISION MAKING SOCIETY. Checks must be in US dollars and payable through a US bank. Mail the form and check to:

               Colleen F. Moore/JDM
               Psychology Department
               University of Wisconsin
               1202 W. Johnson St.
               Madison, WI  53706

*Students must have endorsement of a faculty member:

Faculty Signature: Date:

Printed Name:
Institution:

I wish to subscribe to the following for 1998: [The journal will bill you later for the price of subscription at the special Society rates shown]

     _____ Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes (6 issues, $215
           US & Canada, $250 elsewhere)

     _____ Journal of Behavioral Decision Making (4 issues, $85)

1997 J/DM MEETING: EXECUTIVE BOARD MEETING MINUTES

Minutes of the JDM Board of Directors Meeting November 22, 1997

  1. Dave Johnson, Executive Director of the "Federation" reported on lobbying and other activities in Wash D.C.
  2. Passed a motion to establish an award for senior investigators for contributions to the field, with the title to be determined later. The award will be determined by a committee of Society members.
  3. Discussion of openings on committees: the Einhorn Award Committee and the Program Committee. It was decided to ask for nominations via the newsletter and at the Business Meeting. The Board will elect the committee from the nominees.
  4. Passed motion: "That posters be minimally screened for appropriateness of content and capacity of the conference facility."
  5. Passed a motion to establish a $100 cash prize for the best first-author student poster. For the first year the committee to make the award will be Hal Arkes, Jon Baron, and Sandy Schneider.
  6. Passed a motion to increase the dues for regular members to $25, effective with 1998 dues. Student dues will remain at $5.
  7. Passed a motion to enable the Society to expend the funds necessary to accept credit card payment.

J/DM NEWSLETTER
Department of Information & Decision Sciences Carlson School of Management
University of Minnesota
321 19th Avenue S.
Minneapolis, MN 55455